Understanding 21st Century Hydroclimatic Trends in Western USA Mountain Ranges Using Variable-resolution CESM

Understanding 21st Century Hydroclimatic Trends in Western USA Mountain Ranges Using Variable-resolution CESM
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ISBN-10 : 0355150603
ISBN-13 : 9780355150605
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Book Synopsis Understanding 21st Century Hydroclimatic Trends in Western USA Mountain Ranges Using Variable-resolution CESM by : Alan Michael Rhoades

Download or read book Understanding 21st Century Hydroclimatic Trends in Western USA Mountain Ranges Using Variable-resolution CESM written by Alan Michael Rhoades and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mountains have historically functioned as both natural dams and water towers as they block atmospheric moisture transport and store it in the form of snowpack. They are also unique natural sentinels of climate change with high susceptibility to fluctuations in radiation, surface temperature, and moisture concentrations. The nonlinear atmosphere-land interactions between the major mountain hydroclimate variables such as snowfall, snow cover, snow water equivalent, and surface temperature determine the ebb and flow of how mountains naturally manage water resources. Snowfall totals are representative of the storm composition, orographic forcing, and, ultimately, the initial placement of snow in mountains. Snow cover represents the areal extent of snowfall deposition and the modifications in radiative surface properties. Snow water equivalent is a measure of the vertical build-up of water over the snow covered area that can be stored and slowly released over a given time period. Finally, surface temperature regulates the total storage and release time of mountains in their role as natural reservoirs. Thus, as anthropogenic climate change modifies nonlinear feedbacks at various elevation bands in mountain environments, a physically based model with dynamic feedbacks between the large-scale atmosphere drivers and regional-scale land surface processes is necessary to understand both historical and future trends in mountain hydroclimatology. To address this my research advances the use of a new modeling tool known as variable-resolution in the Community Earth System Model (VR-CESM) to better understand the historical evolution and potential climate change effects on the mountain hydroclimatology of California and the broader western USA, with a particular focus on snowpack. My dissertation represents the first application of this technique to explore scientific questions associated with mountain hydroclimatology and utilizes a suite of climate model, observational, and reanalysis datasets to provide a comprehensive assessment of how western US water resources has and will continue to be shaped by climate change. This research topic sits at the boundary of the atmospheric, hydrologic and computer sciences with an overall goal to push the boundaries of both global climate modeling and regional climate modeling. Chapter 1 explores the usability of VR-CESM in hydroclimate applications by assessing its relative performance to a suite of model, observational, and reanalysis datasets to represent historical snowpack life cycles and snow cover extents in the California Sierra Nevada. Chapter 2 utilizes VR-CESM to explore the effects of a "business-as-usual'' climate change scenario on mountain hydroclimatological trends within the five major western US mountain ranges and explored the nonlinear feedbacks with elevation. Chapter 3 identifies the relative effects of horizontal grid refinement and sub-grid-scale physics in VR-CESM to understand what controls simulated precipitation, snowpack, and surface temperature trends and what systemic biases need to be addressed.


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